USC faces Huge Uphill Climb, Especially Without Caleb…

If Caleb Williams is gone, the ‘climb’ for USC has fallen back to base camp

Williams’ farewell after UCLA-USC Saturday felt awfully like a goodbye-for-good, and if so, head coach Lincoln Riley will face a slew of tests in program-building

Luca Evans (OC Register —  LOS ANGELES – This was a strange setting for a finale, rain falling softly across Caleb Williams’ face Wednesday night, campus pitch-black beyond the turf at USC’s practice field.

How do you want to be rememberedhe was asked, the quarterback setting his jaw for a moment.

“I honestly haven’t thought of anything like that,” Williams said, “but I’d say a player that went out there and gave his all every play, every chance he got.”

“Obviously as a player,” he continued later, “you want to go down and try and be one of the best and greatest players ever.”

It was clear, though, on Saturday, that he’d thought about that legacy. Williams walked into the Coliseum pregame and turned, to soak it all in. He hopped across the grass postgame, holding his hands up in acknowledgment under the arch of the peristyle, even after a 38-20 loss to UCLA.

And then he was gone, declining to speak to media postgame. And gone, maybe, for good.

The ride sure felt like it ended against UCLA in a game where USC showed little fight and little heart and dropped to 7-5 in a season that began with championship hopes. Williams hasn’t made a clearly expressed decision as to his NFL future, but returning for a third year as a Trojan could be career suicide – remember Matt Leinart? – in a program that has far more questions than answers. And the reality of USC’s future, then, has become clear.

In games across his two-year career where Williams accounted for more than three touchdowns, USC has gone 14-3.

In games where he’s totaled three touchdowns or less, USC has gone 4-5.

If Williams has not been spectacular, this program has been mediocre for two years of Riley’s tenure. And without his prodigy under center, with the defensive cleaning-house that’s already begun and will only continue, this will become the most important offseason of his coaching life.

So a never-ending scroll unravels before a move to the Big Ten, where life will only get harder, the checklist staggering:

Connect on a home-run hire at defensive coordinator, and rearrange staff according to his vision

  • Throw money at the best quarterback that hits the transfer portal, or risk rebuilding around backup Miller Moss and unproven freshman Malachi Nelson (as Riley said Thursday, “I don’t know that I’m in a position to say, yes, we will go after a portal quarterback. And don’t know that I’m in a position to say that we wouldn’t either.”

  • Piece together some sort of offensive line – from untested returners, transfers, and a recruiting cupboard not exactly laden with talent – that can hold up without Williams’ scrambling magic

  • Reconfigure a defensive line that will lose two of its most impactful players, in Jamil Muhammad and Solomon Byrd, with little help besides Atlanta edge Kameryn Fountain on the way in the ’24 class.

When asked postgame Saturday if he felt major changes to USC’s culture and personnel were necessary to move the program in a better direction in his third year, Riley pointed first at the removal of Alex Grinch, then expanded big-picture.

“We knew this was gonna be a climb … everybody wants the clean, smooth road to the top,” Riley said, “and that’s for the movies.”

They entered this year, though, closer to the peak of the mountain than they end it. The championship window, if Williams has gone, has slammed shut. To the outside eye, this has not been a climb, in Riley’s second year.

This has been a freefall, all the way down to base camp, needing to start the trek over again without their guide behind center.

ocregister.com

_______

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Fighton74
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November 29, 2023 10:51 am

If SC rushes this DC hire too much they are going to loose in the quality of the hire. Quality is more important than the timing. Recruits are going respect the hire. Cohen and Riley cannot afford to miss on this one. SC needs headlines on this hire!!! As far as Caleb goes. Offensive line and the development of those lineman is a major issue for SC. Caleb was running for his life last year. With a less athletic QB that is a huge problem!! For Riley to have success he will need to change his offense to a run… Read more »

DonEstif
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November 27, 2023 11:51 am

Saw a name pop up for Indiana that would be an interesting option to Lancelot Linc . . . Jon Gruden. But with the uber woke Folt, mentioning Gruden would be an insult to the present prez and board.

Jamaica
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November 22, 2023 4:18 pm

Absolutely it’s going to be an uphill battle this coming season and then some if LR insists on continuing cutting corners using the Portal way way way too much as he has, not building the program “the RIGHT way” through recruiting HS athletes. What’s his problem? Doesn’t he see how the top 5-programs are doing it year in & year out recruiting HS’ers and developing them? I hope he gets the full treatment this off season on fanbase/alumni/press disenchantment making poor choices. If he doesn’t have the ability to recruit the right kids then hire someone who does!!!!!!!! Jen Cohen,… Read more »

alfa1
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November 23, 2023 8:56 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

LR, starting to sound like a Real Politician!

alfa1
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November 24, 2023 5:59 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I like her as well as you would someone having just met bringing an impressive list of successes. Actually, its a little early to say beyond that.
How she manages to correct the mess Riley has let develop. It will be One of her future crowning achievements at SC.

Tirebitter
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November 23, 2023 2:50 pm
Reply to  alfa1

Starting to?
He was all in on day 1 at SC. All words, little action.
I would ask him, what makes him believe that SC still wants him at $10mm a year? He certainly has alienated lots of alumni, you know, all those with “untrained eyes.”

alfa1
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November 24, 2023 6:06 am
Reply to  Tirebitter

I understand your point…however we have to keep in mind how fickle SC Alum and fans are….win championships, parades, feasts, celebrity.
No championship, conference or otherwise…
someone get the Guillotine.

Tirebitter
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November 24, 2023 7:43 am
Reply to  Jamaica

Well said. LR is forced to use the Portal as he is ineffective in recruiting. He can’t attract the top local kids and we have no national scope due to his record. SC can no longer effectively recruit MD and Bosco. Part of the problem is SC’s NIL program, which LR has endorsed and the other part is LR’s arrogance. In many respects, just like at Oklahoma where he never won an NC. I see the years ahead filled with empty LR promises, similar to the Helton days. It’s unfortunate for SC to spend all those dollars for a HC… Read more »

HOF19
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November 21, 2023 7:45 pm

I know he has had some off-the-field problems but there are some wondering is Soph QB Kaidon Salter is thinking about leaving his 11-0 (# 22 AP Poll) Liberty University to play at a higher level conference . (Only Jayden Daniels of LSU and Bo Nix are currently ranked higher than Salter in the Country right now ) .

USC1988
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November 22, 2023 5:51 am
Reply to  HOF19

Sounds good lol … remember though. CW had a full year of combat w/ LR prior to coming to SC. We cannot expect a transfer to just throw up 40 points a game like Caleb. Unfortunately, due to the lack of D and size, speed and personnel. Next year’s qb cannot be a game manager. He will have to be dynamic (my god how good was Caleb) and those do not come around very often. And LR doesn’t strike anyone as a run the clock, lean on the D, type of guy.

USC1988
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November 22, 2023 5:55 am
Reply to  USC1988

Btw, how’s this for a twist of fate. That nice looking Tulane qb is apparently shopping around to join the big leagues. How funny would it be if LR landed him lol. It’s sounds like he will end up at Notre Dame, so he could will haunt us like Tony Rice.

TrojanMPA90
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November 21, 2023 3:57 pm

Okay I know we’re all unhappy with this season but let’s take a moment to think about where we were 2 years ago at this time versus where we are now. If in November 2021 right before Thanksgiving someone told me we’d hire Lincoln Riley as our coach, go 11-3 in our first year, have a Heisman winning QB, and play and lose in the Cotton Bowl and the follow that up with a 7-5 season the next year but not be as good, I would have taken it in a heartbeat. Our success last season hid a lot of… Read more »

USC1988
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November 22, 2023 5:42 am
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

Good points. But it was just the way we lost. That Olay D embarrassed us nationally … for 2 years. Opposing coaches mocked LRs as 7on7 summer camp coach. When Pete had to rebuild his mess, he lost that first year, but opposing teams were not laughing. They knew what was coming. No one knows what is coming with LR now. We do know he has a lot to prove.

volunteerTrojan
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November 22, 2023 6:39 am
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

Thanks, MPA90, nice post.

HOF19
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November 21, 2023 10:20 am

MAN ….Trojan Daily Blog seems to be in a foul mood lately ( would love to have the circumstance to have Allen and LR do an interview together with the Stipulation Allen could ask anything he wanted to ) …..Fight On!!!!!

HOF19
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November 21, 2023 11:18 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I think the next 12-24 months of LR’s career WILL DECIDE how long he will be able to get/hold a job as a head coach at a TOP Level football program or does he end up coaching say ….The Universirty of Minnesota or Villanova .

HOF19
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November 21, 2023 11:26 am
Reply to  HOF19

Hey …….Jim Mora is the Head Coach of 2-9 UCONN .

Golden Trojan
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November 21, 2023 11:27 am
Reply to  HOF19

When you got $100+ million no matter what happens you would think he would be free to change things up.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 11:33 am
Reply to  HOF19

Agree … he is losing 5-7 games next year due to that schedule. It’s how he loses them that will tell the story. 2025 is going to huge for him. Schedule is easier, should have a new DC and experienced qb.

volunteerTrojan
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November 22, 2023 6:51 am
Reply to  HOF19

I agree with you HOF19. I said in a recent post that this off season and the first half of the first game will tell us all we need to know about LR.

Let’s face it, the B12 just wasn’t very competitive in his years as HC at OK. It was easy for him to accumulate the record he did. His approach has been revealed as seriously flawed. He has no choice but to adapt or disappear into irrelevance.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 11:30 am
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Answer … Thought it was a great hire.The D was worrisome beginning at Zona last year but thought LR would always score.Tulane was a complete embarrassment. Blew it off as the usual SC non Rose Bowl, toilet bowl game effort (it’s become a tradition) and blamed Grinch, of course. Then this mess. Having seen what Jedd did at Zona and what that mouthy little prick at Oregon has done. Wish we would had hired one of them. The answer is go full Texas/Suckisian. Buy all kinds of talent and a big time staff, money be damned. It saved Suck, this… Read more »

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 12:27 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Kiffy lol lost 5/6 last year and was drubbed in the big games this year, one by 52-17. Fraud as usual.
Suck is having a Coach O fluke type year, with the same career results coming. Texas doesn’t mess around with dopes. Those clowns are not going to last as usual.
LR unfortunately just looks like a more amiable Kiffin and a smarter Suck but just as lazy.

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 8:52 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

With all of the failures the past two years, one wonders how we benefitted from having one of the highest paid HC’s in college football. If not the highest paid. It seems to me that Riley has been exposed as a would be HC. Even if viewed as an OC, he has failed. Yes, he had a Heisman QB, but certainly few of the surrounding players that are required to have a top O. Do we now have Helton, Part Deux? LR has gone so far as to repudiate the goals at SC and has stated that the team sets… Read more »

Golden Trojan
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November 21, 2023 10:07 am
Reply to  Tirebitter

Tirebitter you mentioned earlier that USC will not do “pay for play”. If so that may be part of LR’s difficulty recruiting. He may be complaining about that behind closed doors and forced not to talk about it publicly. Instead he is forced into platitudes and say nothing pressers. I’m looking for changes at the president and board chair regarding the stance on NIL. If not USC football and basketball may be doomed to mediocrity.

volunteerTrojan
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November 22, 2023 6:56 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Nice use of “insipid.” Reminds me of my high school band instructor who would call out weak instrument playing as “insipid and anemic”, which in turn reminds me of the SC defense.

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 11:47 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

Perhaps, but I don’t see them changing. I don’t think college basketball is going anywhere given the need for “one and dones.” Hardly an activity the students can (and would) relate to.

Tirebitter
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November 22, 2023 11:04 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

“pay for play is deemed to be illegal under NCAA guidelines.

TrojanRJJ
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November 22, 2023 12:25 pm
Reply to  Tirebitter

Tirebiter, The way around this rule was pioneered by Texas A&M. The boosters form a private NILs independent of the school. The athlete then signs the NIL with that booster cooperative. For example, OR has an “independent” NIL group which performs this service. I think it is called State Street and it is run and funded I think by Nike. In essence, the OR football players are employees of Nike. This gives OR a huge advantage in talent acquisition. Rumor has it that the OR NIL offered Cam Rising $3 Million to play next year for OR. Supposedly the Utah… Read more »

Golden Trojan
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November 22, 2023 12:44 pm
Reply to  TrojanRJJ

That sums up USC football and basketball, get independent Collectives or become very average fast.

Tirebitter
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November 23, 2023 10:52 am
Reply to  TrojanRJJ

I would say that those “ways around the rules” are not legitimate and cannot stand the scrutiny of the inevitable IRS audits. In no way do a few visits to a non profit fundraising activity justify a payment of a Rolls or other substantial compensation. It’s just a thin fig leaf that will soon be addressed by the IRS. Then all these schemes will be disclosed for what they all really are – pay for play! All of this could lead to an examination of the non profit status of a university, not to mention the formation of player unions.… Read more »

Golden Trojan
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November 20, 2023 6:39 pm

There are two parts to rebuild USC football. The first is the NIL Collective arrangements with USC. That is on the Board of Trustees, Carol Folt and Jen Cohen. They need to fix that fast before signing day. The second part is Lincoln Riley’s staff. That is on Jen Cohen and Lincoln Riley. She is now in position to start calling the shots. I will waiting to see what happens. “Little” things, like the free use of a vehicle for every scholarship athlete would be a good start. Look for the collectives to be out from under the thumb of… Read more »

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:58 pm
Reply to  Golden Trojan

Rarely does an AD step in the way of a football coach. She won’t be calling any of the shots.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 6:27 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

My son once dumped one of his chicks by text …I said really ‘You went Mike Garrett on her’ he didn’t get it lol

Jamaica
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November 21, 2023 9:13 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Say what you want about MG in his dealings with people, but He wanted to win in football and based on his hirings, he brought in college & Pro coaches, new & formers SC coaches. And if they didn’t pan out, they were fired. I believe he would be all over LR right now if he was still AD. The dust never settled with MG unless you won enough games to make the alumn/fanbase satisfied. With all the hirings he made, it was bound to happen eventually there would be issues with violations. And it finally happened during PC’s reign.… Read more »

Mikejohn
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November 22, 2023 4:55 pm
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I recall Mike as an all guts and leadership 180 pound sophomore half back (running over defensive backs) playing for John McKay. And two seasons later, he is winning the Heisman. Whatever Mike’s shortcomings as an AD, I speculate that Ol Mike would have have not left a message for LR, following Tulane’s come from behind win, last season, but would have opted for a closed door one- on- one meeting in the locker room with the offensive genius during which all of the chronic problems on defense and with LR’s inexplicably poor team preparation would have been “mutually” resolved… Read more »

Golden Trojan
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November 20, 2023 7:18 pm
Reply to  USC1988

The whole universe knows he needs a reboot. If he doesn’t know it himself then Cohen goes to Folt and the Board for the okay to tell him what the plan is. He can get with the plan or quit. If Folt and the Board won’t back Cohen then she should walk. If you see Cohen walk then USC is not serious about football and just wants the BIG10 TV money to fund women’s sports.

Golden Trojan
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November 20, 2023 7:19 pm
Reply to  Golden Trojan

But why pay the football coach $10+ million a year if you aren’t serious?

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 9:13 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

To SC’s credit, they did step up to hire what they thought was a top HC that could return SC to NCs. I doubt very many were not happy with that decision. But now, after two years, LR has not build a program, SC is in the tank. Recruiting is not working. Major powerhouse HS programs are no longer feeder programs. To which LR responds that we recruit nationally. Is he serious? With his record, he can’t recruit nationally, or even locally. His arrogance is costing SC far more that the $100 mm or so he is being paid.

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 11:51 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

As you know, until the program is successful, it won’t be touted in the press. When you get former supporters like Colin to now denigrate the program, it adds to the lack of attractiveness for recruits. We are screwed and are paying $100mm for it.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 3:57 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Seemed the wheels started falling off at ASU … when LR and his shitty staff were completely out coached by that kid ASU coach. Then the miserable 2nd half vs CU when they nearly blew a 45-14 lead !
It all began after that strange bye week and that F ed interview Times interview by LR.

TrojanRJJ
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November 22, 2023 12:34 pm
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Allen, You seem to be in a rage about LR. Didn’t Lane Kiffin lose 5 of this last 6 a year ago? I doubt there was any national CFB writer who had anything positive to say about him last year. Kiffin seems to be fine this year. LR made a huge mistake with Grinch. I think he will learn. Problem is the mistake may take at least two years to recover from. If SC gets its “pay for play” NIL in place quickly, may take only a year. LR’s mistake with Grinch killed both 2023 and 2024; LR should be… Read more »

TrojanRJJ
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November 22, 2023 12:36 pm
Reply to  Golden Trojan

GT, This is partially on LR and partially on the SC NIL structure. Both need to have major changes in approach.

Steveg
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November 20, 2023 7:22 pm
Reply to  USC1988

Never say never 88, she could surprise all of us.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 6:29 am
Reply to  Steveg

Not in year 1 or 3 for that matter. We will see.The Coli was full for the most part the past two years (thank you Caleb). Start going 6-6 and it will just become an cheaper and early bowl destination for Big 10 schools.
No one better allow that!

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 9:07 am
Reply to  USC1988

In the case where there is widespread dissatisfaction, including among the Alumni base, The football coach is not calling the shots. And it is increasingly evident that LR simply is not a HC. After the debacle with Helton, how much leeway will LR have?

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 9:04 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

SC is not going to “pay for play.” Period. That has been the BOT position and supported by Folt. Deal with that.

Golden Trojan
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November 21, 2023 9:56 am
Reply to  Tirebitter

If they stick with that USC football will not be very good.

Tirebitter
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November 23, 2023 10:58 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

SC isn’t going to participate in the “pay for play” game that NIL has become. That is illegal under the NCAA and will eventually be addressed. This is not to mention the IRS issues with the NIL schemes in place. That alone will crash the programs.
I applaud SC (and Stanford) for standing up to these schemes, despite the negative impact on recruiting.

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:03 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

My god imagine what Michigan would had done to SC this year with that huge athletic Oline and tough backs

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:26 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Deleted every SC game without re-watching one … save 1st half vs Colorado.
That D was just beyond an embarrassment.Unwatchable.How LR could stand there and watch that shit, game after game,without going nuts on Grinch like Saban used to on Kiffin.
Of course, they set the tone with saying they were just experimenting on D in the opener. JFC.

Golden Trojan
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November 20, 2023 6:33 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

He’s right, just 5 plays away. That’s the 5 worst plays by the defense in EVERY game this season! Of course there are probably more than 5 bad plays in some games. However, consistently bad week after week with no improvement, you are just bad.

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:41 pm
Reply to  Golden Trojan

The jr high pitch outs just cracked me up … stopped one all year when Zona for some dumb reason went short side of the field.
Then the wheel routes lol finally somewhat figured those out. Then Chipster went fake wheel, TE delay lol no one with in 15 yds. OCs must have just laughed all week preparing for Grinch’s mess.

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:52 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

That bye week interview WTF… tell us you don’t want to coach anymore without telling us you don’t want to coach

Mikejohn
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November 20, 2023 7:52 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I think that is a big problem fo Riley. The other is that as the losses mounted he was grinning ( sure wasn’t a smile) more. He yammers on…and on. Brighter days are ahead routine. He should speak a whole lot less. SC fans will ignore what he says. I wonder if the team already has shut him off.

UtahTrojan
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November 20, 2023 8:12 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Did you say Riley or Helton. Because at this point in their USC careers Helton was better. Who would have thought?

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 6:21 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

The Cat was loving life … even he couldn’t believe his dumb lazy ass had this job.

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 9:29 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Yes, both lines. Then the DBs. Then the LBers. Even a new, experienced QB. Revisions in the approach to play calling. Clearly a new DC, and defensive scheme, maybe other coaches.
Then repair relationships with key HSs for recruiting.
When you list all the issues you realize we are back to a Helton program!

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:53 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

With few exceptions … still think the plan is portal

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 4:16 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Texas was able to help out one of the biggest frauds in the history of coaching in Suckisian, as he was failing badly. LR needs the same help.

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 5:51 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Those two losers have the remarkable ability to F up … just a matter of time.

Tirebitter
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November 21, 2023 9:01 am
Reply to  USC1988

BS. Kiff did well given he had the sanctions to deal with. Sark is a great coach, he just got addicted to alcohol, Look at these two coaches now. Kiff had a good year in a tough conference and Sark is likely headed for the CFPs. And LR has been humiliated and barely eligible for the Toilet Bowl.

USC1988
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November 21, 2023 11:14 am
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Kiffy has been fired 4x for a reason. Suck will catch up with him soon. Both will be canned from the jobs they have.

RialtoTrojan
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November 20, 2023 5:56 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Maybe he read my Facebook post. Right after we got pasted by Ucla, I posted that exact sentiment. My thought was; a real winner coach surrounds himself with the best, not yes men. Riley had nobody on staff pull him aside and say, “Grinch has gotta go,” this is a huge red flag. Grinch’s gutless gaggle of goofs showed up midseason last year and never improved . Riley knew what to say ” I take responsibility -yada, yada. ” But he never took responsibility until it was screaming, “no more yada,yada!” How as a fan, can I excuse this repeat… Read more »

Chris
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November 20, 2023 6:19 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Finebaum is a hack. Riley has had one bad year. One. Sports is a prisoner of the moment culture. He is still a good coach. Everyone in the country apart from about 5 teams would’ve traded their coach for Riley last year. The guy didn’t back his way into 6 years in a row of top 10 teams. Pile on now, because there won’t be a chance to down the road.

Chris
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November 20, 2023 6:32 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Wow. You are going full scorched earth on Riley.

USC1988
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November 20, 2023 6:36 pm
Reply to  Chris

LMAO

Chris
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November 20, 2023 6:48 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I just don’t buy into the narrative. Talk radio is not objective. They are paid for over the top takes. This is same crowd who thought Harbaugh should have been gone after his 8-5 year. Thought Mike Norvell should have been gone after year 2. Sark after year one at Texas. Riley didn’t forget how to coach this year. He wasn’t figured out. He did make a mistake keeping Grinch, a big one. But he’s earned a mulligan.

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November 20, 2023 8:02 pm
Reply to  Chris

I suppose a 11 million dollar mulligan is in order. Maybe he could donate a million of his many millions and hire a special teams coach.

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Major Genius
Golden Trojan
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November 20, 2023 6:48 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

More and more I have this theory about LR. The last 2 seasons was all about what to do for Caleb Williams and not about building USC football for the future. Quick fixes through the portal hope the defense is passable, get one Heisman, maybe two. Now hopefully we are where we should have been 2 years ago. Riley has gotten knee capped this season. Like Kathy Bates did to James Caan in Misery! Mike “the brute” Bohn is gone. Jen Cohen is the new sheriff in town. Time for her to set LR straight. Look at how the top… Read more »

Steveg
Major Genius
Steveg
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November 20, 2023 1:26 pm

2024, a whole different look. These writers and talking heads can say all they want, Caleb is still to this day the best QB in college football. I think 2023 just shows how important it is to have a good team and that is what it takes to go to the NC. Caleb did not have enough support of the team around him. For whatever reason you want to come up with, it doesn’t matter really. I will lose faith in Riley if he goes for another QB after working to keep Moss and recruit Nelson. Either he is questioning… Read more »