Mid-Season Report Card: The Rise of L.A.

Pac-12 football midseason report: Best, worst and everything in between from the first half of 2022

Jon Wilner (Bay Area News Group —  The rise of L.A. and increase in scoring are key developments…

Top storyline I: Return to relevance With competent coaching at USC, a veteran roster at UCLA and stellar quarterback play on both campuses, the crosstown rivals reached 6-0 in the same season for the first time since 2005. Our view: It doesn’t matter a lick that the uptick is coming months after their announced departures for the Big Ten. The move isn’t responsible for their success in any fashion, and they aren’t leaving for 21 months. What matters is the Trojans and Bruins have helped the Pac-12 regain a footing on the national stage.

Top storyline II: Coaching dismissals

Top storyline III: Points production

A surge in scoring has fueled the conference’s overall resurgence. There are 19 FBS teams averaging at least 40 points per game, and five reside in the Pac-12: Washington, Oregon, USC, UCLA and Utah. We expect production to decrease with conference play in full swing, but the Pac-12 is nonetheless on pace to generate more high-level offense than it has in eons. It’s amazing what quality coaching and quarterback play can do.

Top storyline IV: Transfer talent The list of impact players is stocked with newcomers. The influx of starting quarterbacks (seven) has been well documented, but the transfer portal delivered playmakers across the rosters, from Washington tailback Wayne Taulapapa to Arizona receiver Jacob Cowing, from UCLA edge Latu Laiatu to Oregon cornerback Christian Gonzalez, from USC linebacker Eric Gentry (18) to ASU tailback X Valladay. More than a few are intra-conference transfers.

Best coach: UCLA’s Chip Kelly

We debated whether to honor Kelly because the Bruins’ schedule has been pillowy-soft. But he deserves credit for having the Pac-12’s last remaining unbeaten team, developing quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson and collecting pieces through the transfer portal that fit perfectly within his system. No offense is better designed, and the defense has improved. Runners up: Oregon State’s Jonathan Smith, USC’s Lincoln Riley and Washington’s Kalen DeBoer.

Best offensive player: Arizona receiver Jacob Cowing

We gave serious consideration to a handful of quarterbacks, but Cowing has performed at the highest level nationally relative to his position and done so against solid competition. He’s in the top 10 in a slew of key statistical measures and has created chances for teammates because of the attention he draws. Runners up: UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, USC QB Caleb Williams, Washington QB Michale Penix Jr., Oregon OT T.J. Bass and Utah TE Dalton Kincaid.

Best defensive player: USC defensive lineman Tuli Tuipulotu

The sophomore has been an unstoppable force up front, leading not only the conference but the country in sacks (seven) and ranking second nationally in tackles-for-loss (12.5). USC’s defense has been both wobbly and better than expected, and the improvement starts with Tuipulotu, a worthy heir to the likes of past USC stars Shaun Cody, Mike Patterson, and Leonard WilliamsRunners up: Utah cornerback Clark Phillips III, Oregon cornerback Christian Gonzalez, UCLA edge Laiatu Latu, Oregon State cornerback Rejzohn Wright and Washington State linebacker Daiyan Henley.

Best position: Quarterback

Largely because of transfers like Penix, Williams and Oregon’s Bo Nix, the level of quarterback play across the conference is higher than it has been in years. Sure, coaching plays a key role, but it’s a talented, experienced collection that has thrived where its predecessors flopped. Put another way: A potential first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, Stanford’s Tanner McKee, is merely seventh in the Pac-12 in efficiency rating.

Best game: Utah 43, USC 42

The most anticipated conference game of the first half delivered on the hype, and then some. The showdown proved plenty worthy of its prime-time TV window with big plays, huge momentum swings, more than 1,000 yards of offense and a riveting finish. Add the officiating controversy, and it checked all the boxes for gripping entertainment.

Biggest twist: Non-conference results

What if we told you the Pac-12 would record victories over Notre Dame (road), Wisconsin (road) and Michigan State (home) — and none of them packed a punch? Welp, check the standings: MSU and Wisconsin are each 1-3 in Big Ten play, and the Irish (3-3) lost at home to Marshall. Which leaves us with the following offering for the Pac-12’s best non-conference win: UCLA over South Alabama.

Worse than expected I: Cal’s offense

The bar is never high for the Bears, yet they have still managed to underperform under playcaller Bill Musgrave. The past two games have been particularly dreadful with nine points against Washington State and 13 against lowly Colorado.

Better than expected I: Washington State’s defense

A unit that returned only one all-conference-team selection (Ron Stone Jr.) has been consistently effective, leads the conference in tackles-for-loss and allows just 20.7 points per game. Its greatest challenge has been the erratic support from WSU’s offense.

Worse than expected II: Arizona’s defense

Nobody expected an updated version of Desert Swarm, but the level of returning and incoming talent suggested some improvement over the turnstile unit we watched last year (and the year before that, and the year before that). Instead, it’s more of the same. Even Cal scored 49 on the Wildcats.

Better than expected II: Washington’s offense

No, it couldn’t have been any worse under the new coaching staff than it was last year (completely inept), but we didn’t expect quite as many points (42.1) or yards (513.1) per game from the Huskies. Often, the receivers are wide open, a credit to the scheme deployed by DeBoer and Co.

Worse than expected III: Utah’s defense

It’s easy to explain (young line, loss of Devin Lloyd, etc.), but we’re not accustomed to seeing the Utes give up 40 points in back-to-back games or rank 100th nationally — 100th! — in yards-per-play allowed (5.91). Last year, they were No. 39 in that category.

Better than expected III: Oregon State’s defense

New coordinator Trent Bray has arguably the best secondary in the conference and is making the most of it: The Beavers held USC to 17 points and are even better than the 24.7 points-per-game allowed given that their quarterbacks have thrown 11 interceptions.

Biggest stain: Georgia 49, Oregon 3

A daunting assignment for the Ducks went unimaginably wrong as they trailed the defending national champs 28-3 at halftime and never mustered a rally. The final result and lasting image could haunt the Pac-12 during the playoff selection process, especially if the Ducks end up as a one-loss conference champion.

Top stat I: AP poll

For the first time in years, the Pac-12 is a top-heavy league — a necessity for prime-time matchups, national recognition and playoff consideration. Four teams are ranked in the top 15 of the current Associated Press poll (No. 9 UCLA, No. 10 Oregon, No. 12 USC and No. 15 Utah). That’s more than any conference except the SEC, which also has four.

Top stat II: Heisman Trophy odds

USC’s Williams is the No. 3 betting favorite at 7-to-1 while UCLA’s Thompson-Robinson is 20-to-1 with a golden opportunity to gain ground this weekend (at Oregon). The success of the L.A. QBs evokes memories of 1988, when USC’s Rodney Peete finished second in the Heisman voting and UCLA’s Troy Aikman was third. (The winner? Some guy named Barry Sanders.)

Top stat III: Bowl math

Two teams are already eligible (USC and UCLA), four are within one victory of qualifying (Oregon, OSU, Washington and Utah) and one has a reasonable path to the postseason (WSU). What’s more, the conference remains alive in the playoff chase — an improvement! — and is better positioned for multiple berths in the New Year’s Six than it has been in years. The second half should be riveting.

ocregister.com

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rosegreen
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October 19, 2022 5:00 pm

Regarding Best Coach: I don’t think Kelly is best coach. Players matter, so I think UCLA QB Robinson is more of a factor as to UCLA success than the head coach [ Kelly]. of coarse, coach AND PLAYERs are the main 2 factors. case in point: Jeff Tedford had lots of success with Cal Bears for a few years. why? he had players like Aaron Rogers and Marshaun Lynch.

USC1988
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October 19, 2022 5:24 pm
Reply to  rosegreen

Gutties need to win a big road game to anoint Chip

Golden Trojan
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October 19, 2022 9:15 am

Noticed last nights Padres-Phillies game, Bill Walton sitting behind home plate. Thought about that poor soul, waiting decades to see a Playoff game at Petco Park. Paid up to sit behind home plate. 2-0, bottom of the 9th, 2 outs, 2 on. Who stands up in front of me? Bill F***ing Walton!

UtahTrojan
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October 18, 2022 7:27 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Unfortunately none of these change anything and I honestly believe the commissioner has ordered the referees to do exactly what they did. We all know PAC-12 officials are the worst. This game took it to a completely new level.

San Diego Trojan
October 18, 2022 9:27 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I honestly don’t suspect corruption. Just the same old substandard officiating we’ve always known, plus an overreaction to the concussion problems and protocols happening in the NFL. My guess is they were told to err on the side of caution when anything approaches the appearance of roughing. It’s a game changing mistake, and should be reviewable in the Pros and College. Why not give each coach one or two opportunities in each game to throw a flag for review of a call. You would think the refs and league office would rather get it right than face the scrutiny that… Read more »

Golden Trojan
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October 19, 2022 7:49 am

Agree SD, coaches should be able to challenge a momentum changing call by the refs. Give them on per half.

RialtoTrojan
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October 18, 2022 5:28 pm

I read a comment that Lincoln Riley will be fined by the league for criticizing the refs, but I can’t find any evidence of such a move. In fact he doubled down during a press conference saying he couldn’t find roughing in either call and that both calls were errors. I doubt the league will do anything

rosegreen
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October 18, 2022 4:28 pm

opps…you did NOT commit to who is the best QB? of coarse, just my opinion, Caleb Williams is the best

UtahTrojan
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October 18, 2022 7:32 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Pretty non-committal

Chris
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Chris
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October 18, 2022 3:37 pm

Top heavy league with 2 leaving soon. Imagine Pac 12 without USC or UCLA this year. It would be a one important game conference. The rest is not really worth watching.

Steveg
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Steveg
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October 18, 2022 6:24 pm
Reply to  Chris

You lost me Chris, who would be in the one important game?

Chris
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Chris
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October 18, 2022 8:54 pm
Reply to  Steveg

Without USC and that other LA school, the pac 10 would only have Utah vs Oregon. All the rest wouldn’t matter.

Steveg
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Steveg
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October 18, 2022 2:59 pm

Decommit: Dylan Williams, LB, from L.B. Poly. 4 star 2024 class

John Weld
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John Weld
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October 18, 2022 3:23 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Not getting enough NIL love…….

Steveg
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Steveg
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October 18, 2022 6:23 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I would sure hope so Allen, they need talent and speed at LB, and this kid fits the new prototype. Maybe an SL500 would change how he feels.

UtahTrojan
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October 18, 2022 7:34 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

That is what I was thinking. At this point with where USC is going can’t imagine this is his choice.