Game Day — Loaded USC Needs To Prove It Can Play D

The Trojans expect to back up all the hype with a powerful season opener today

Allen Wallace and Michael Briggs (Winners and Whiners)  —  The San José State Spartans and the USC Trojans (-31.5) kick off their 2023 seasons on Saturday at L.A. Memorial Coliseum. Kickoff is at 5:00 p.m. PT.

San José State has an o/u of 5.5 wins this season. The Spartans will open their 2023 campaign with consecutive games against ranked opponents, as they will host #18 Oregon State after they take on the Trojans. They were 7-5 last year and won 24 games the past four seasons.

USC has an o/u of 10 wins in 2023. The Trojans, in their final season as a member of the Pacific-12 Conference, have four ranked squads on their schedule: Notre Dame, Utah, Washington, and Oregon. They were 11-3 last year but finished poorly, losing badly in the Pac-12 Championship and the Cotton Bowl.

The Spartans’ pass rush could take a step back in 2023, but their offense looks tough to defend

The Spartans have some holes to fix on both sides of the football, but they do benefit from the return of an experienced and very talented QB. Chevan Cordeiro (2) is back for his sixth season of college football, all of which have been spent in the Mountain West Conference.

The ex-Hawaii gunslinger passed for 3,251 yds and 23 TDs, and rushed for nine more scores last season for SJSU.  Cordeiro needs to be pressured and has a way of shredding the best-laid defensive plans, extending plays, and thinning out a defense until it snaps. He’ll make some plays!

“You’re not rushing as many as you’d like to rush or you’re not putting as many guys in coverage, so it gives you major fits,” embattled Trojan DC Alex Grinch said, when asked this week about facing Cordeiro. “Always has, and always will.”

Cordeiro leads a Spartans offense that returns four starters on the offensive line but still needs to improve opening holes for the ground game. If they can, 5-7, 195-pound running back Kairee Robinson (157 carries for 752 yds and ten TDs) is capable of taking advantage, especially near the goal line.

The San José State passing game paced the Mountain West last year and should be very good again despite losing most of the team’s top receivers from last season. Some good tight ends and younger Spartan ball catchers are very talented. Keep your eye on true freshman walk-on Cooper Hoch, who starred at CDM last year.

The 3-4 defense lacks both talent and depth up front, as Cade Hall (7.5 sacks) and Viliami Fehoko (9.0 sacks) are out of eligibility. The best pass-rushing team in the MWC last season frankly looks to be severely lacking this season. 

SJSU’s linebacking unit will be solid with Byrun Parham (74 tackles) leading the way and the secondary might be difficult to throw against. Try telling that to Caleb Williams however.

Safety Tre Jenkins (two INTs) and former under-rated, mentally tough USC safety Chase Williams (two INTs) are two players to watch in the defensive backfield.

Stats  —  last season, San José State scored 27.5 points per game (74th), averaging 264.0 passing yds (34th) and 92.6 rushing yds (125th). The defense surrendered 20.3 points per game (22nd) and 334.4 total yds (26th), including 210.4 passing yds (45th) and 124.0 rushing yds (29th).

Can Caleb Williams take USC to the promised land?

There are sky-high expectations this season in Los Angeles for the USC football team. Ex-Sooners HC Lincoln Riley has managed to immediately retool the Trojans roster, amassing a collection of portal, prep, and returning talent the program hasn’t featured since the days of Pete Carroll.

USC will go as far as 2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams can take them. He needs to avoid another serious injury like his bad hamstring that derailed USC last season.

The junior signal-caller who is expected to be the #1 pick in the 2024 Draft passed for 4,537 yds and 42 touchdowns in 2022, adding 442 yds and six scores on the ground.

Hopefully, Miller Moss gets some serious second-half playing time.

To make the final four-team College Football Playoff, though, Williams will need to elevate some new players around him. The Trojans lost star wide receiver Jordan Addison to the NFL and athletic Kyle Ford transferred to rival UCLA, but there will be absolutely no shortage of weapons at Williams’ disposal.

Among the team’s notable incomers are versatile sledgehammer-like running back MarShawn Lloyd (0; 5.2 ypc with South Carolina) and elite receiver Dorian Singer (1,105 receiving yds with Arizona), who will bring playmaking experience to the 2023 USC squad.

Up-and-comer WRs Zachariah Branch and Raleek Brown are also dangerous, elusive speedsters, and tight end-turned-wide-out Duce Robinson (6-6, 225) is expected to be a giant talent in time.

They’ll play behind a portal-padded offensive line that was both retooled and reshuffled in the offseason. It’s a work in progress. Center Justin Dedich needs to stay healthy.

Surprising 17-year-old true freshman Alani Noa is challenging junior Emmanuel Pregnon from Wyoming to start at left guard. That’s either good or bad news, depending on how you look at it.

Nonetheless, expectations are that USC’s O-line could develop into a unit that’s improved over last season, though the jury remains out on that.

“That group is one of the more important ones on the field in terms of being cohesive, and so, it is a balance, and I think we’ve got some good competition,” Lincoln Riley said Thursday. “I think the most important thing is figuring out, eventually, who are the right five guys. I think some of the potential rotations here early on are for good reason. We’ve got several guys that we think could be that, and we want to give those guys a chance to go play. I think here, at some point, you would hope [and] expect that lineup will settle in, in a ways.”

The SC defense needs to make serious strides in 2023 after allowing 6.3 yds per play (119th-worst in the FBS) last year. The Trojans led the nation in turnover margin with an impressive 29 takeaways, but there are no assurances USC will somehow duplicate how the ball bounces.

USC’s defensive line and linebackers must make a big statement against San Jose State

The defensive line looks brand new, with Georgia transfer Bear Alexander, A&M transfer Anthony Lucas, and Kyon Barrs from Arizona (the so-called “Merchants of Muscle”) headlining the group of newcomers. The linebackers and secondary, however, return plenty of experience and playmaking ability.

Trojan names to watch include promising ‘backers Mason Cobb (above, former Oklahoma State tackling machine), prep phenom Tackett Curtis, leader Shane Lee (78 tackles), heavier Eric Gentry (71 tackles, missed spring ball recovering from ankle surgery), and safeties Max Williams (two INTs), and All-American candidate Calen Bullock (five INTs).

Stats  —  the USC offense averaged 500.5 total yds (5th) and 41.1 points per game (3rd) in 2022, including 325.7 passing yds (5th) and 174.3 rushing yds (51st). The defense allowed 415.1 total yds (101st) and 27.9 points per game (81st), including 266.5 passing yds (112th) and 148.6 rushing yds (62nd).

Best Bets for this Game

The Spartans are talented and experienced enough to cover the spread, especially in Week 0. SJSU’s top-flight passing attack can keep this game close for a while, attacking a USC defense that has a lot to prove in 2023.

The Trojan defense won’t have to win the game, obviously. They don’t need to be great this season, just good. Something like a top-50 scoring D should do just fine. With a litany of transfers wearing Cardinal and Gold for the first time and a defensive coordinator under the gun, there’s little sense predicting they will already be a truly accomplished unit against the Spartans.

But Grinch simply has to deliver the goods, or he should be gone. USC needs to get 3-and-outs instead of relying on unreliable turnovers like last season. It’s prove-it time in Trojanland. Put up, or shut up as they say.

The Spartans’ biggest defeat last year was 43-27 vs. San Diego State. They’ll be flying a little too under the radar in Week 0 and will be looking to hold the Trojans accountable.

USC may score early and often, giving its backups more playing time than expected, too. This combination of factors works in San José State bettors’ favor, and they just might barely beat the spread today, especially if USC takes its foot off the gas.

Prediction: Trojans (too much firepower at home)  -31.5

winnersandwhiners.com

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TrojanRon
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TrojanRon
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August 27, 2023 7:27 am

I’m convinced that Grinch is no better than Orlando or Pendergaast. I’ve been harping for years that USC needs to hire Jack Del Rio as DC. Jack is one of the most well-respected Defensive minds in the NFL. He didn’t have success as a Head Coach in the NFL, but then again he didn’t have much talent to work with and coached in two lousy organizations at the time, Jacksonville and Oakland/Las Vegas. Jack was an All-American Linebacker for USC in the mid-1980s. He knows what it is to be a Trojan! Jack is a no-nonsense disciplinarian. He’s currently the… Read more »

USC1988
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USC1988
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August 27, 2023 8:41 am
Reply to  TrojanRon

The JDR train came and went years ago … being a DC in college football is a short term gig. Even the best college Ds are not stopping a good qb or team, see Bama giving up 60 to Tennessee and Georgia vs OhioSt. But please stop the long gash plays, come on Grinch.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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August 28, 2023 8:12 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Sounds like Jack has no filter. That is a badge of honor i wear proudly!

TrojanRon
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August 29, 2023 3:08 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Another interesting “tid bit” is when Jack was a Senior at USC, his fellow Linebacker Duane Bickett actually played the game equally well and was drafted higher in the 1985 NFL Draft. I had the pleasure of mentoring and managing Duane when he was a Summer Intern with the public accounting firm of Arthur Young & Company (now Ernst & Young LLP) in 1984. That Fall Duane and Jack led a stellar USC Defense that won the PAC as well as the 1985 Rose Bowl vs Ohio State. Duane and I attended the same High School, Glendale High (CA). He… Read more »

TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 11:06 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Watched his post game press conference and there were things he was happy about and things that he knows we have to work on.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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August 28, 2023 9:53 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Thanks for attaching this press conference. I usually don’t get to see this type of thing. Very enlightening….

Golden Trojan
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Golden Trojan
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August 26, 2023 9:45 pm

Congrats Dubparr22 taking the over, that was the difference this week.

Golden Trojan
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Golden Trojan
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August 26, 2023 9:41 pm

So how did the defense to? USC has a comfortable lead at half time. NO The opponents are not allowed a 2nd half come back. YES, Sort of The game is not close in the fourth quarter. YES Miller Moss gets in every game, maybe 2-3 series. YES and Nelson played USC covers the spread. NO I’ll take it. Interesting game, Riley played a lot of freshmen in the 1st quarter, that kept it close. When they wanted to put the pedal down they did at will. Lots to work on and Riley showed the players what they need to… Read more »

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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August 26, 2023 9:20 pm

Good news……Bear and Lucas looked good…….better than last year. Bad news….our OL looked bad……worse than last year.
Continue to believe the USC season starts when they play ND. After watching ND today…..USC is going to have a tough game against them. Their new QB looked excellent.
All in all….it’s a win……and next week is another joke of a game.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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August 26, 2023 9:30 pm
Reply to  illinoisusc

One thing…..the number of plays due to the clock running after 1st down is great……..the game does not drag and ends in about 3 hours.

USC1988
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USC1988
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August 26, 2023 9:35 pm
Reply to  illinoisusc

Oline rotated players and positions every series … that’s right every series

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:56 pm

Nevada is going to kill us (not really) but if Stanford beats our defense Riley needs to pull a Mile Bohn (after the last Stanford loss) and ask Grinch to pull a Mile Bohn (after the L.A. Times questioned him)

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 8:50 pm

In the post game P12 show, they showed Branch’s KO TD run and Reggie’s Punt TD against Fresno St. Branch practically ran in Bush’s footprints.

USC1988
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USC1988
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August 26, 2023 9:33 pm

Reggie didn’t return a punt for TD vs Fresno

volunteerTrojan
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August 27, 2023 6:47 am
Reply to  USC1988

Right, the handful on the 45 then. My bad. Got it confused with the OSU fog play.

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:45 pm

We played well but there is a lot of things to work on.

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 9:02 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

True you want to have things to work on and that’s to be expected since this was the first game. The defense was better than last year and the increased depth is going to help. O-Line needs to get set by the Stanford game.

Sky is the limit with the talent we have. Also know LR will make sure we improve unlike our previous coach who shall not be named anymore.

UtahTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:44 pm

They really need to stop running the PAC-12 commercials like the teams are a cohesive conference. Most of the teams can not leave fast enough.

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:43 pm

I knew the spread was overly ambitious, but I thought we could cover. But I also believed we had a better defense. I’m not a Grinch can until he delivers his resignation.

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 9:02 pm
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

Fan not can. My tablet changed the word when.I posted them when I edit the blog says I’m posting too fast slow down. What is the point of the edit feature of it won’t allow it to edit?

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 9:21 pm
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

I ran into exact same problem .

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:41 pm

Stuff to work on .

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:36 pm

Malachi is in

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:39 pm
Reply to  HOF19

He cost me big time

Chris
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Chris
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August 26, 2023 8:32 pm

We had backups in, they score and then they onside kick down 28. Riley puts back in the starters. I’m good with it.

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:31 pm

Nice 4th and 2 stop. Now let’s go get 63!

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:31 pm

I think LR might be wanting another TD <<<<< Just Saying …..Fight On !

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:31 pm
Reply to  HOF19

I know I certainly am.

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:33 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

100% Correct ……. especially the part about CH .

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:27 pm

The head red needs a new job.

RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:28 pm
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

Ref

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:27 pm

Give me a pick 6 .

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:24 pm

LR Gonna get tossed by refs ?

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:26 pm
Reply to  HOF19

Are these P12 refs?

John Weld
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August 26, 2023 8:24 pm

I have never seen Riley so angry.

TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:27 pm
Reply to  John Weld

Pac-12 refs at their best or worst.

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:22 pm

Still terrible special teams. Can we get a ST coach please!?!?

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:14 pm

A perfectly blocked kickoff return ?????

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:13 pm

A field goal to cover?

John Weld
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John Weld
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August 26, 2023 8:15 pm
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

TD, the spread was 31.5

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:13 pm

Let’s get that score back and go to 63.

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:14 pm
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

Yes, let’s!!!

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:12 pm

I know we have reserves in there now but can’t give up this many points.

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 8:13 pm
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

Can’t help but wonder how many points the upper third of the SEC or B1G would score on this D…really need to get better next week.

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:10 pm

I guess not .

HOF19
Noble Genius
HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:09 pm

I’m greedy ….A score by our Defense ?????

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:07 pm

Traveler !!!!!

HOF19
Noble Genius
HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:07 pm

Nice job running that drive Mr. Moss …..Fight On !!!!!

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:07 pm

Moss was smart to stick around. Think Matt Castle

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:06 pm

Well I figured 56 points for SC and we got there.

Chris
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Chris
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August 26, 2023 8:06 pm

Moss looked great on that drive. Like a true vet. I’m no longer mad.

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 8:06 pm
Reply to  Chris

Really happy for Moss.

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:06 pm

Moss-to-Duce …..I like it !!!!!

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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August 26, 2023 8:05 pm

Duce!

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 8:05 pm

Pretty throw by Moss!

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 8:03 pm

Joyner …..Hmmmm

John Weld
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Major Genius
John Weld
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August 26, 2023 8:01 pm

Miller Moss comes in to relieve CW

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:05 pm
Reply to  John Weld

If they score with Moss at quarterback,does he have to treat the line to lunch? I hope Wendy’s is open

John Weld
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Major Genius
John Weld
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August 26, 2023 8:06 pm
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

Tommy’s on Rampart.

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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August 26, 2023 8:09 pm
Reply to  John Weld

Good call!

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 7:57 pm

Christian Rolland-Wallace !

Jamaica
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Jamaica
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August 26, 2023 7:56 pm

San Jose St scoring 3-TDs is troublesome. Could be 4-TDs by the end of the game and that’s just plain too much for a team like SJS.

volunteerTrojan
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August 26, 2023 7:50 pm

I want 50+ tonight!

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 7:49 pm

I know I commented about 60 points a couple of minutes ago …But as I think about it now we score again maybe sit Caleb the rest of this game ?

ATL D.D.S.
Noble Genius
ATL D.D.S.
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August 26, 2023 7:50 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

He may never get over that injured ankle. Sometimes that area can’t heal 100%….

HOF19
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HOF19
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August 26, 2023 7:45 pm

Uhh …..Targeting ref ?????

Chris
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Chris
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August 26, 2023 7:44 pm

zach Is next level.

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 7:45 pm
Reply to  Chris

He’s going to need oxygen! Ha ha!

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
August 26, 2023 7:43 pm

#10 on D is everywhere tonight. A bright spot on D!