3-2 USC vs. #4 5-0 Penn State, Saturday, 12:30 p.m. PT, L.A. Memorial Coliseum, CBS (Ch. 2) / 710 AM
Current Line: Penn State by 3½
Ryan Kartje (LA Times) — The refrain felt frustratingly familiar. Here again, in the wake of another disappointing defeat, was the same rosy message from Lincoln Riley, reassuring the public that USC was really just a few plays, a few stops, a few inches away from where its coach wanted them to be.
It’s all a matter of perspective. Still, however close USC might have come, however “battle-tested” it might now be, the harsh reality is Riley has lost seven of his last 12 as the Trojans coach. That’s equivalent to the worst 12-game stretch of Clay Helton’s tenure as USC’s coach.
With No. 4 Penn State on tap Saturday at the Coliseum, the Trojans now find themselves playing for their College Football Playoff lives in mid-October, with zero room for error.
Miller Moss had a lot of time to consider that subject on the long flight home from Minneapolis on Oct. 5.
“The most important thing for us right now,” the quarterback said, “is everything we stood for, we worked for, all the messages we said to the team that said what we were about, when you face adversity like this, that’s when that gets tested the most.”
Coming up, against Penn State this weekend, is that fork-in-the-road moment.
“We have two pretty clear choices,” Moss continued. “Double down on who we are and get closer as a team and go forward with the great opportunity we have this weekend, or let this affect us and deter us from what we ultimately want to do.”
We should, by Saturday night, have a much better idea which path the Trojans have chosen.
Rundown run defense
It was the classic Big Ten blueprint. Run the ball. Limit possessions. Grind the clock.
Throw a heavy dose of soft-zone defensive coverage at Moss and Riley to limit big plays. Wait out offensive impatience until the Trojans slip and beat themselves with turnovers.
For USC against Minnesota, there was little its defense could do to stop their heavy ground attack. The Golden Gophers piled up a whopping 193 rushing yards and three touchdowns in 40 carries, nine of which came on the final game-winning drive.
Penn State comes into Saturday as the second-most run-heavy offense in the Big Ten — 40 attempts per game — with a pair of running backs in Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen that both rank among the best in the conference. Singleton, especially, has been electric this season, picking up nearly eight yards per carry.
“Probably the best two we’ll see so far,” linebacker Easton Mascarenas-Arnold said of the two backs.
It’s not like things have gone well so far for USC’s run defense. The Trojans rank 17th in the conference in rush defense, at a clip of more than 158 yards allowed per game. That’s nearly a 30-yard improvement from last season’s unit. In the Big Ten, however, where teams are content to play “keep away” from USC, it’s not good enough.
Making matters more difficult, USC once again won’t have Eric Gentry, its leader in tackles for lost yardage and sacks.
Big plays always have been an essential part of Riley’s offense but they haven’t been quite as easy to come by as usual this season for Moss and Co.
USC ranks 71st in the nation in explosive plays of 20 yards or more, far below the usual range for a Riley-led offense. Before this year, Riley’s offenses at USC and Oklahoma had finished outside of the top 10 one time. The last two seasons, USC ranked in the top four.
A quiet start to the season from Zachariah Branch, the Trojans’ most dynamic open-field weapon, has not helped in that regard. Branch has been limited to 54 combined yards receiving over the last two weeks. He also has made a few costly mistakes in the process, such as muffing a punt against Wisconsin and dropping a key third-down pass against Minnesota.
Riley acknowledged Monday that Branch was “pressing a little bit,” but “was on the cusp of a few more” big plays.
Penn State boasts one of the best defenses at limiting explosive plays in the country, with just 43 plays of 10-plus yards allowed this season, good for fourth best in college football.
It’d be an ideal time for Branch to break out of his slump. Moss is not about to stop trying.
“My message to him is I’m going to keep getting him the ball,” Moss said. “He’s going to keep getting the ball in those situations, and he’s going to keep making those plays.”
Pressure party
When D’Anton Lynn took over UCLA’s defense in 2023, he didn’t have to worry much about creating pressure. He had Laiatu Latu, a future first-round NFL draft pick, screaming off the edge. Or the Murphy twins, wreaking havoc.
Penn State, by comparison, has pressured quarterbacks more than twice as much (100). It also boasts one of the best pass rushers in college football in Abdul Carter, who has the same number of pressures through five games (16) as USC’s starting defensive line.
Lynn said he has continued to emphasize generating more pressure “every week.” But at this point, it’s just a matter of players “developing into pass rushers.”
“I think they’ve gotten better,” Lynn said. “And then, from a schematic standpoint, how can we put them in the best positions to succeed?”
Notable injuries
USC: DOUBTFUL: LB Eric Gentry (undisclosed); QUESTIONABLE: CB Jacobe Covington (undisclosed), TE Lake McRee (leg); PROBABLE: DL Anthony Lucas (undisclosed)
Penn State: OUT: RB Cam Wallace (undisclosed), S Kevin Winston Jr. (undisclosed); PROBABLE: RB Nick Singleton (undisclosed), RT Anthony Donkoh (undisclosed)
latimes.com
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A neurologist friend raised the issue of undiagnosed “dyschronia”. LR seems unable to make time calculations.
Just got home from game few hours ago . So we are all beside ourselves. Chris, you always point out the positive in our Trojans and I know you’re at you wits end too. Guys, I’m not trying to blow smoke up you know where, but I seen something today that gives me some hope. Going in opposite order, is our home game fan involvement. I’ve had season tickets since 2016 and I’ve never seen such yelling, rooting, etc as I did today. Packed Coliseum and Penn St actually had a hard time hearing when on offense. I’m proud of us. Fans did our part.… Read more »
Last one.
Lincoln Riley talked after the Minnesota game about being two plays away from being 5-0. Is he going to say USC is three plays away from being 6-0? We told you last week that no one wants to hear Riley or any coach talk about being one or two plays away. That’s a refrain for losers
https://twsn.net/2024/10/the-usc-trojans-will-fire-lincoln-riley-and-hire-kliff-kingsbury-as-their-next-head-coach
i don’t know who would be the right replacement, but I don’t see Kingsbiry being the answer
No more hot shot OCs … hasn’t worked Goatboy Kiffy was a disaster
Suckisian an embarrassment Gomer not even a coach and now
it’s obvious … LR is not a big winner 3 winnable games and whiffs at the end of each
Lynn is getting as much as he can out of this outmanned D … only Ramsey and maybe Smith have any awareness LBs are middling Dline plays hard but no talent
Unblocked DE missing sack on 4th down was awful
btw, the B1G completely sucks
I do and he’s teaching a class at the University right now. Says he still has the energy to lead another program and hasn’t given up looking for his next job.
At some point, playing a close game every week has to be seen as the measurement of what this team is: ordinary. Great teams will win a few close ones during the season, but they will also deliver knockout punches and win games by 17, 21, 15, 13, and 20 points. USC just can’t do that most of the time, and it shows.
Defensive tackle Hakeem Beamon took a large blue and white flag from a cheerleader and attempted to plant it at midfield. That effort did not go well, and then Franklin took the flag from another would-be planter of the flag on the USC logo.
not a Trojan around to stop it?
Thanks coach … big win for him send LR and refs a thank you
Those appeared to be reserved for Woody Marks, USC’s running back, who burst out of the gates with a big first half, only for Riley to turn away from him in the second. Marks finished with 20 carries for 111 yards.
three games in a row now.
How about getting Joyner more 4th quarter touches ! You know the guy that scored 2 TDs in 1st quarter
Marks is great but was tired, Joyner was fresh.
That tight end, Tyler Warren, would account for 43% of Penn State’s total offense, torturing USC’s defense in a way that induced flashbacks of the Trojans’ trip to Utah in 2022, when current Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid piled up 16 catches for 234 yards.
And yet we didn’t shadow him until the last couple series.
3-3 after the Penn St game, 2 months ago we would not be surprised. What is a surprise is LR getting out coached and losing games late in the 4th with poor playing calling and clock management. Well now we get 5 games with the rest of the bottom half of the conference before ND. 8-4 here we come.
At this moment, 8-4 seems like a pipe dream. There isn’t a team on the schedule that can’t beat us. Our team might pack it in, sort of like last year.
Had us 8-4 with hopefully good draw in some toilet bowl
But who knows could lose at Maryland next week because those are the things we do now
not winning at Wash
or beating ND
Nebby plays as dumb as we do so that will be a mess
I’m starting to lose faith in Riley. Not his ability to call plays, that’s silly, he knows what he’s doing there. But, I am losing faith in his culture. Good teams win close games, we just do not. The circumstances change from game to game, but the results do not. We shoot ourselves in the foot over and over. Eventually that is exactly who we are, we are a team that finds ways to lose. Once or twice is an outlier, over and over is an identity.
Not sure his play calling is all that anymore … supposed genius, 1st down at midfield only a FG to win, shitty poorly executed wasted down run play that lost yds, catch and fall down by Fair, his 1st catch , bad luck I suppose, but maybe Lemon keeps feet and rumbles for 1st down. Then horrible, rushed, under no duress throw by MM, who missed many, to wide open 6’6 Duce. Can’t blame shitty refs for that. LR was in control. And failed again. Was no doubt SC was losing in OT. Just matter of how and LR whiffed… Read more »
Will somebody please buy those refs a pair of glasses or a seeing eye dog.
Oh….the see very well……they just choose to protect the conference…..very much corporate……they want as many in the playoffs as possible. Unfortunately USC is used to being in a conference that forced us to beat the doormats by an extra 14 every game because of their lousy calls. No protection in the pac 12. We were the Ohio State of the pac 12 and were treated as Northwestern of the BIG. I remember an Illinois team that was in a big game against Mich in the day before replay. Five fumbles by Mich were never called by the ref in spite… Read more »
Nebby fans told me you will regret joining this league … they take care of their old boys only. ND fans said we are living the reason they will never join the shitty Big10. See roughing passer called, make it mor obvious.
These Big10 hacks went 0-3 on one play, a late and helmet to helmet hit to MM while receiver interfered with.
Homered at home … nice
It’s going to be hard for USC to win this year with these Big 10 officials. They just don’t want USC to win.There was one clear pass interference on the sidelines near the end and there was an official standing right there and the play went uncalled. The next play there was another uncalled PI. Plus that roughing the passer was a joke. Quinten Joiner has carried the ball 7 times for 126 yards in the last 2 games. That’s 18 yards a carry. On the season, he’s 30 carries for 294 yards. That’s almost 10 yards a carry. But… Read more »
Oregon just got robbed of an interception. BIG refs believe in tradition…..as in Mich and Ohio State and Penn St. If you are going to beat them……you are going to have to really beat them into the ground.
I don’t know why ORE let Chip Kelly get off another play so fast without challenging the call. Bizarre, especially since a Duck emerged from the ground with the ball.
Notice how with the fumble….now there is a review?
That Oregon line is really quick.
I’m predicting and pulling for an ORE win, even though they almost allowed a fumbled extra-point snap that turned into a pick to be returned for a score.
If Oregon can hold up in the 4th being the quicker team….it’s going to be close.
Tradition doesn’t include SC
Not yet….we have to be in the top 20.
It could be his fumbles or the other guy Woody is grinding out yardage the hard way. Both are good no question. I just cannot figure out why the best tackle on the team is playing center during the biggest game of the year.
Especially when you don’t have tackles.
Yes we are getting horrible calls by the officials, but if we think that is why we lost then we are kidding ourselves.
Pete’s teams were always hosed … but won anyway but then he had great players because he went and got them
Riley was outcoached again and this time it was during halftime. Penn St came out with a plan and energy and our team came out listless not knowing how to keep a lead. We’ve seen it every time the team has a lead. No killer instinct no put the game away mentality. Seems it was so easy for Penn St to come back and take another win away from a team forgetting how to win.
Very true about our complete lack of a killer instinct.
We approach the end of games like lambs being led to a slaughter.
Hopefully, 2025 recruits don’t see it that way.
Need some dawgs … have a few, Lemon, Ramsey, frosh kid with big pick, Woody, Joyner and few more not enough
QB needs some more dawg and keep it on RPO at crunch time
My god……I missed a good portion due to a visit…..but I caught the last part.
This idiot we call a head coach lets the clock go down to 14 seconds without a time out and then calls several on defense. Then he calls a time out when the field goal is kicked well before the kick.
Get rid of this moron.
I have a tradition of wearing a black USC shirt on Sunday after a loss to church. It goes back to the 1980s. Tomorrow I’m tearing the sleeves because USC Football is dead to me. USC HAS SNATCHED DEFEAT FROM THE JAWS OV VICTORY THREE TIMES THIS SEASON. (And several times under Riley) this isn’t getting any better. Riley needs to go
I feel sorry for LR. He seemingly can’t pull any of the right strings at the end to win any important games.
It’s not fun to feel sorry for your own head coach. Wow, he must wonder why he loses all the time now.
USC just never seems to find a way to get it done.
I don’t feel any more sorry for LR than I did for CH. When you are the boss, you don’t learn from your mistakes and you keep friends on the payroll when you shouldn’t then you get everything you deserve.
Well tonight he can go home to his lovely wife and kids, his PV mansion and look over his bank account. He will put his head on his pillow and think “I can’t believe they pay me this much to lose”. Maybe feel sorry for Clay Helton, he had a better record after 2 1/2 seasons and was paid a whole lot less.
and look at the TV and see the worst team in guttie history shutting out Minnesota in 3rd quarter
I think if Moss had not overthrown Duce on that last series, USC wins and a lot of these posts would not be made. Riley isn’t blocking, passing, tackling, or in pass coverage. It may be that our talent level is not up to standards. Now the officiating against USC is blatantly obvious and I hope our AD calls the conference out on it.
The team mentality is on LR.
USC has lost eight out of its last 13.
Many players and coaches have changed, come and gone, over all those losses.
The one constant is the besieged Lincoln Riley and his failed rebuild, halfway through season three.
The man is totally incompetent in managing a game. It’s malfeasance. A 9th grade JV coach would not have let the clock run down the way asshat HC did and then call a poor play. How much is the buyout? Let’s start a gofundme. Fire this mother…… Jen Cohen.
Lincoln Riley seems to be s snakebit coach. He can’t win the big ones.
There will always be an excuse. Maybe it was #44 this time.
It’s so disappointing that PSU completed so many clutch plays on USC to win the game.
He might as well complete the transition to Helton and confess his love for his players
Have we officially become “warriors” yet?
OUR F’ING HC IS A PRIMMA DONNA! WILL NOT LEARN FROM HIS STUPID IDEAS ABOUT TIME MANAGEMENT FAILURES!! HIRE LYNN AS HC
I have my problems with Lynn as well. The whole game 44 should have been spied. How many times did we lose him for a big gain?
It needs to be over for Riley. Paid way too much for this crap. We could have stuck with Helton for these results.
Wow. USC’s going down again. Amazingly dysfunctional closing ability.
Another pitiful finish. Just like the season
so dissapointing
again an un called PI
Another PI call ignored! Insane.
I thought getting away from the PAC12 refs would be good,
but i was so wrong
PSU gets away with a PI call! Yuk!
We are going to get the calls from these officials for years, but the pass should’ve been better
They have gotten away with it all day. This game is lost.
So we are going into the sun?
Perhaps … but not to the CFB Playoffs
I like our chances in OT with our goal line defense.
This game should have been over, but thanks to our quarterback whisperer we’re going into overtime
why does riley have a brain fart every week on time management?
I think if that pic had been a completion, he would have kicked the field goal and won with no time left.
Maybe Lincoln Riley just realized he has timeouts
Glad we saved our TOs for icing the passer.
Per Lincoln Riley, we’re only three plays away from being undefeated.
Now he calls a timeout
Have to be f’n killing me
I hate OT
Jeez Louise!
Ah the mystery that is LR’s clock management!
What the hell is with the clock management?
USC has a really good FG kicker. Sounds perfect.
Use all the clock and kick a walk-off three-pointer!
Ashame that Ramsey couldn’t bring in that INT😰
This D has improved. But seriously sucked on this drive
We sure gave up some huge plays there. 4th down sure hasn’t been our friend.
Unbelievable
The Trojans have memorized this playbook.
So, let’s just score again and use all the clock in the process.
Just two plays away from undefeated
😂 😂
Now we need a PSU turnover from our defense!!!!
No penalties please to give them easy 1st downs!!!
Assign a safety to shadow #44 from now on D’Anton.
Stop ’em here and USC can put PSU away! We’re due, don’t you think?!
Marks is such a stud.
Nice drive and good mix of plays
Maybe Riley has heard the talk about pounding the rock?
They keep running a wheel route to 44, Can’t we learnfrom our mistakes?
I guess if Gentry was available, he could spy 44 all afternoon. we should be able to devise something, He is their only game breaker.
It’s not like he’s a little guy. The guy is huge.
Great player. Just seems to know where to be.
true dat
Moss has been plowed down after almost every pass and never got a call. Referees ain’t playing equal at all.
We put ourselves in this position by coming out so flat. Stupid penalties again.
How do we lose Warren on almost every play?
To USC, he’s the invisible man. Amazing.
USC is wearing out. Need another big turnover.