USC vs. Michigan State: Four things to watch for Saturday

USC QB Jayden Maiava leads the nation in yds per passing attempt at 14+. (Michael Conroy / AP)
MICHIGAN STATE (3-0 overall) at No. 25 USC (3-0 overall, 1-0 Big Ten)
Saturday, 8 p.m., Coliseum, FOX (Ch. 11)/710 AM
Line: USC by 18½ points
Ryan Kartje (LA Times) — After years of weathering the #AfterDark absurdity of the Pac-12 Conference, USC hoped moving to the Big Ten might help kick most of those bizarre midnight romps from its calendar.
Of course, geographic sense only matters so much in college football when there’s millions to be made from broadcast rights. Fox had the third choice this week among the networks and chose the best available game. That’s why USC and Michigan State will kick off at 8 p.m. Saturday. Which means, in East Lansing, Mich., the game should wrap somewhere around 2:30-3 a.m.
There were two such kickoffs in the Big Ten last season, and only one that included a team hopping three time zones to the west. USC won that 8 p.m. game against Rutgers in quarterback Jayden Maiava’s debut.
The Spartans arrived in L.A. on Thursday to give them plenty of time to acclimate. Jonathan Smith, who previously coached at Oregon State, understands what such a late kickoff requires. Still, you could understand why Michigan State might not be thrilled at the prospect of playing so late.
USC will have its own time-zone trouble to deal with next week, when it kicks off at 9 a.m. PDT in a road matchup with Illinois. This weekend, the bigger question for USC will be if the fans arrive well-rested — or at all.
“Both teams gotta deal with it,” coach Lincoln Riley said. “We gotta handle it well, our crowd needs to handle it well. At the end of the day, it’s a game, it’s being played, it’s being played in the Coliseum, and we expect to win and we expect to have a really good crowd behind us. We’re not going to make excuses about it.”
The Spartans will likely be missing multiple key players for Saturday due to injury, allowing the Trojans an opportunity to shore up any concerns ahead of next week’s big matchup against No. 9 Illinois — their first ranked team of the season.
Michigan State injuries: QUESTIONABLE: OL Luka Vincic (undisclosed), RB Makhi Frazier (undisclosed), DL Stone Chaney (undisclosed), CB Andrew Brinson (undisclosed), OL Charlton Luniewski (foot), CB Caleb Gash (undisclosed), K Tarik Ahmetbasic (undisclosed), G Ashton Lepo (undisclosed), LS Kaden Schickel (undisclosed), DL Jalen Satchell (undisclosed)
As big favorites, the Trojans will likely preserve their unbeaten record on the Coliseum home turf, while Illinois goes to Indiana in what should prove to be a bigger test for Bret Bielema’s crew. Trojan fans have been pointing to the matchup in Champaign for months now and USC needs to be mindful of overlooking the Spartans, who don’t have a quality win in their three victories so far.
USC has shown its potential to win on the road, unlike last season. Now it can show its ability to win after dark.
1) Trojans take to the air; Spartans tough against the run.
Few quarterbacks in college football have started the season at the breakneck pace that Jayden Maiava has managed through three weeks. Maiava is averaging more than 14 yards per attempt — the most of any quarterback in the nation by three full yards — while completing 68% of his passes, almost a 10% improvement from last season.
There’s no reason to think that trend won’t continue against Michigan State.
The Spartans rank 118th in the nation — and worst in the Big Ten — in pass defense, and that’s after playing teams like Youngstown State and Western Michigan. They’re allowing roughly 273 passing yards per game.
They haven’t seen anything yet like USC’s passing offense, and especially receiver Makai Lemon, who ranks behind only Ohio State’s Jeremiah Smith in receiving yards (315-311) this season in the Big Ten.
Michigan State has been stingy this season against the run, so it could be tough to find much of a rhythm on the ground. That means a potential big game for Maiava.
Michigan State’s linebacking group is one of the strongest parts of its defense. The Spartans’ 195 total tackles rank them fourth in the Big Ten and linebacker Jordan Hall is the team’s best tackler with 27 total tackles. Wayne Matthews III is right behind him with 24.
Good tackling is helping Michigan State contain running backs as the Spartans are giving up only 64.3 rushing yards per game.
2) Will USC’s pass rush keep rolling? Aidan Chiles could be a challenge.
Through three games, USC’s rejuvenated pass rush actually leads the nation in sacks with 14. Michigan State, meanwhile, has allowed the second-most sacks of any Big Ten team this season.
That formula could mean a long afternoon for Spartan quarterback Aidan Chiles (6-3, 225), who Riley said this week poses “the biggest challenge we’ve faced up to this point” at the position. The Long Beach native from Downey HS appears to be putting it all together as a passer, but it’s Chiles’ dual threat ability that could be especially dangerous against a front four that’s been aggressive early in the season..
He’s tied for the conference lead in rush attempts among quarterbacks at 10 per game.
“When you add in Chiles’ athleticism, that definitely adds an entirely new element,” Riley said. “So it’ll be a big focus point for us to be able to keep him in the pocket, to contain him in there.”
When under heavy pressure, Chiles has been much less effective. His completion percentage drops from 79% in a clean pocket to 48% in a pressured one.
3) Stud receiver status
Both teams could be without their most dynamic pass catcher on Saturday.
USC wideout Ja’Kobi Lane, last year’s Big Ten leader in touchdown receptions, is questionable after he sat out practice on Wednesday. Riley wouldn’t comment on whether he’d be available for the game.
Similarly, the status of Spartan receiver Nick Marsh was up in the air as of Friday. Marsh made the trip to L.A., in spite of dealing with a lower leg injury and he reportedly will play. Same with RB Makhi Frazier (lower body). Marsh is by far Michigan State’s most dynamic weapon on offense and his absence would be significant, if he’s unable to go.
4) Tanook Hines breakout game incoming?
With Lane hobbled, keep a close eye on freshman Tanook Hines (6-0, 195), who pulled down a stunning acrobatic catch last Saturday at Purdue.
Riley raved about the freshman earlier this week.
“He goes after the ball with a unique mindset for a freshman,” Riley said. “You talk about a guy who really attacks the ball. He’s played physical. He’s a really good blocker. He’s done a good job of picking up our system. … He’s an all-ball guy. There’s no fluff to this guy. He’s an edgy, tough competitor.”
Prediction: USC 42, Michigan State 17. The Trojans get one final tune-up before heading to Champaign for their first true test of the season.
latimes.com
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Nice win, just got caught up on the replay. Offense is sharp for the most part. Defensive line mostly solid. Absolutely loved the ground game!
But what is the deal with the secondary? It will be our downfall if not drastically improved. And penalties.
Eric Gentry is a great tackler.Watch the past games on you tube……He rarely misses a tackle and the ones that he does miss is usually because he was partially blocked out of the play by another player. When it is just him and the running back coming at him and an open field tackle is required, he rarely misses that tackle.
I pray Gentry doesn’t get hurt. Really worries me based on his past history. Take him out of our lineup and a lot could go south. The Human Helicopter, our defensive leader.
Good night everyone. Take away our horrible 3rd quarter and it’s a blowout.
There was a lot to like about our performance, but Jesus Mary and Joseph, we gotta clean up the penalties.
The Sack Kings are also the Penalty Kings. Go figure!
Thanks for hanging in here so late.
Yeah, but I’m very tired this morning.
289 rushing yds. Nice
Now they go stupid on offense. They just can’t be trusted to cover the spread
37 rushing plays, 26 pass plays, Riley has seen the light.
I knew he would sooner or later go back to the good ole Oklahoma offense where he ran the ball 55% of the time.
By the way, that Spartan who was carted off the field has full motor control. Lucky kid.
Good to see USC rebound and kick butt in the 4th Q. Nice composure and game control.
I have a rare bet with a colleague who is a MSU alumna. I need a TD to cover!
Okay, no garbage time points given up by the D and I am golden!
Crap
Oh well, it’s only a half gallon of ice cream
Do they want mint chip? My fave. Great stuff.
You guessed correctly, Allen. Dr. Erika Templeton wants mint chocolate chip.
I don’t know what it is about that stuff. There’s so many great flavors. But it’s always my go to. So refreshing.
But this is why I hate betting.
Brutal. Sorry but your wish has not been granted. It’s a cruel world.
We are the nation’s Sack Kings!
Chiles just blew a wide open receiver. You get hit enough and this stuff happens.
Now, let’s shove it down their throat again!
Cal got stomped
What a complete flop by Cal.
What gives? Football is one crazy sport. Love it.
Our team is very exciting. Certainly noticeably flawed, but super dangerous and I really like the team’s toughness and togetherness.
😆😆😆😆😆
Doc you gonna make to the end?
At this point, yes! Thanks for checking!
1st and goal. Here comes 6
Absolutely! #6 for six!
We be runnin’, even though Maiava has turned into a magician.
MiCH ST wastes a crucial time out because they know this is the ball game for them.
Really need seven here
#2 looks like your late fraternity brother, Mike Battle, Allen.
Battle was one of the craziest guys who ever lived. He and Rossovich were both from another planet. Neither knew the meaning of pain or rationality.
TE Lake McRee is so under-rated.
Shades of Caleb Williams in 2022.
What a play by Maiava! Stud city.
We’re in a huge battle now.
Maiava should keep the ball on these RPOs. Mich St. is crashing hard towards the RB.
He may do exactly what you suggest down the stretch. Or he may not. I have no idea what USC’s offense is gonna do on any play. So many weapons. So much versatility.
They killed the clock for the 3rd.
USC just had one of the worst 3rd quarters I’ve seen in quite awhile.
We’re gonna find out what we are made of now.
We went from dominating to fighting for a win. I can’t believe this team is letting a crappy Michigan State team back in the game.
I would make these players do wind sprints until the puke tomorrow. 3 100 yard sprints for every penalty.
Is it too early to say let Ucla have Lynn back?
I am speechless. This penalty crap is killing us.
The ball did not go over the line did it?
It did IMO. Just barely crossed the plane. It only has to cross the front part of the line.
I think it did. The point of the ball crossed over the leading edge of the white line. Most minuscule breaking of the plane ever.
USC is getting clearly outplayed over the last several minutes. Time to regroup and make some big plays. Time to run away from these Spartans. Now it’s only a seven point game again.
We can lose this game.
another penalty.
WTF!?!?!?
The defense needs a harsh talking to!
hie many penalties, ten? Sure seems like it
Lynn needs to clean this shit up. The defense should have been off the field a long time ago.
We are helping the Spartans get hope that they can get back in this game.
I’m really enjoying the commentary tonight. RG3 is doing a great job.
Another stupid penalty. And another.
must clean this crap up!
And yet another.
Stupid penalty
Again
If I were in the Coliseum I’d bee worried about catching the train back to where I usually park.
California is not a concealed carry state, I assume
Great drive to start the 2nd half.
Fourplays into the third quarter and SC is over 200 yards both running and passing.
Amazing how much your passing game opens up when you have an excellent running game. Glad LR has woken up and smelled the coffee.
Teams also hate to be run on. At least that was my experience as a player. There’s nothing worse than to be a DB and see some dangerous back burst through the line, break a tackle and quickly head upfield while you try to angle-in on him or watch him sprint upfield from you. It’s a brutal way to see a team enforce it’s will on you. And over time, it’s demoralizing and sets you on your heels. It’s now 31-17. Time to put the screws to these guys and lay the wood to them on offense. Passing is fun… Read more »
Gawd, it’s 1:07 am and it’s only halftime.
Need a coffee?
I am standing up and pacing so I don’t lay down and fall asleep. 🥱😴
SC 164 yds rushing and 191 passing
Gentry’s all over the place. He’s like a helicopter out there.
Stadium still sounds hushed.
I missed this play. How did the Spartan hurt him self so bad?
Hasn’t been a replay right?
No replay. Two MSU players ran into each other.
Was that the same play? The announcer said the MSU had lost three players—I guess they counted the ejected player.
Helmet to helmet with a teammate.
It was really bad. I pray the kid didn’t break his neck.
Really makes you think how quickly tragedy can strike. I also pray this injured Spartan is okay.
But football is such a great game. I have three grandsons and I hope they choose to play FB. It is the greatest team sport ever.
I do love football, and always have.
Me with my wonderful Norwegian grandmother, Martha
I’m seeing a lot of Reggie in Jordan
Good analogy. Just don’t duplicate RB’s bull shit off the field that put SC in the jackpot for several years.
The Fox analyst onthe telecast is really good
I was thinking the same thing. I don’t know these guys, but they’ve proven themselves to me.
Way better than Gus Johnson who will be doing the SC/Illi game next week.
He’s a Former QB. Is it Robert Griffin III?
Too bad USC is letting MICH ST hang around. Let’s score now and at least go into half 24-10!
SC needs to work on defending the fumbled lateral double pass.
You stole my line. Too quick for me. 😂
Crazy these two plays happened the way they did, for a TD and a first down.
That’s twice now a team has completed a weird double pass.
rushing/passing plays are 11 for both by USC
How great is Lemon!
I think that is clear targeting. Very dangerous hit. He’s outta here! Gonna hurt the Spartans bad because this guy is gone.
It was targeting and it’s a huge loss for the Spartans since that’s one of their green dot communicators.
Maiava has played better than I thought he would before the season. He’s incredibly good for the most part now.
He seems much more confident, like he knows the system better
Lynn dialing up some great stunts on the line.
We definitely have the coaching staff and won’t get out coached.
We’ve got a rush this year, no doubt. Some big-time youth there too.