Can USC Escape Middle-of-the-Pack Prediction?

Big Ten football preseason poll: USC picked 9th, UCLA 15th

Coach Lincoln Riley leads the Trojans into a season of high expectations, while transfer quarterback Nico Iamaleava is set to make his debut with the Bruins

USC coach Lincoln Riley and the Trojans hope to contend for a College Football Playoff spot this season, but a preseason poll projects them firmly in the middle of the 18-team Big Ten. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
Lincoln Riley and the Trojans hope to contend for a College Football Playoff spot this season, but a preseason poll puts them firmly in the middle of the 18-team Big Ten. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

Haley Sawyer (OC Register)  —  The USC football team cracked the top 10 in the Big Ten Conference preseason poll, and UCLA is predicted to finish in the bottom half of the conference.

The Trojans are picked ninth and the Bruins are 15th in the annual preseason media poll released by Cleveland.com, which began compiling predictions after the Big Ten ceased to issue a poll 15 years ago.

Twenty-four media members participated, including beat writers from all 18 Big Ten teams.

USC went 7-6 overall last season, 4-5 in Big Ten play.

Lincoln Riley enters his fourth season as the Trojans’ head coach with expectations looming. Eight of USC’s games last season were decided by seven points or less, including a 33-30 overtime loss to Penn State, which was picked first overall in this year’s poll.

Accomplished defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn is back for his second year with USC, while the Trojans will need to make a statement both on the offensive line and at quarterback.

Zach Hanson takes over as the O-line coach this season after last year’s group allowed 21 sacks. Jayden Maiava is expected to start at quarterback this season after former quarterback Miller Moss transferred to Louisville.

Maiava threw for 1,201 yards and 11 touchdowns while rushing for 91 yards and four touchdowns in seven games last season, taking over as the starter during the season.

UCLA and second-year head coach Deshaun Foster find themselves staring up at most of the conference based on the poll.

The Bruins produced multiple NFL Draft picks last season – including linebackers Carson Schwesinger and Oluwafemi Oladejo – but struggled to win games in their first season in the Big Ten, finishing 5-7 overall and 3-6 in conference play.

The defense loses key pieces like Schwesinger, Oladejo and Kain Medrano, but it’s the offense that will be in the spotlight. UCLA added Tennessee transfer quarterback Nico Iamaleava to its roster in the spring.

The 6-foot-6 redshirt freshman threw for 2,616 yards and 19 touchdowns with five interceptions for Tennessee last season.

Here’s the complete preseason B1G poll:

No. 1 Penn State (11 first-place votes)

No. 2 Ohio State (10 first-place votes)

No. 3 Oregon (two first-place votes) (vs USC Nov. 22 in Eugene)

No. 4 Illinois (vs USC Sept. 27 in Champaign)

No. 5 Michigan (one first-place vote, vs USC Oct. 11 in L.A.)

No. 6 Indiana

No. 7 Iowa (vs USC Nov. 15 in L.A.)

No. 8 Nebraska (vs USC Nov. 1 in Lincoln)

No. 9 USC

No. 10 Washington

No. 11 Minnesota

No. 12 Wisconsin

No. 13 (tie) Michigan State (vs USC Sept. 20 in L.A.)

No. 13 (tie) Rutgers

No. 15 UCLA (vs USC Nov. 29 in L.A.)

No. 16 Maryland

No. 17 Northwestern (vs USC Nov. 7 in L.A.)

No. 18 Purdue (vs USC Sept. 13 in West Lafayette)

ocregister.com

______________

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illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 3:08 pm

Oh my goodness….President Trump just signed an executive order which prohibits payments from third parties to college players. I have no idea what this means but I have a feeling this site is going to be discussing whatever it means for a long time. The order is described as something to save amateur college sports.
Here we go again.

Golden Trojan
Major Genius
July 24, 2025 4:10 pm
Reply to  illinoisusc

A waste of time and money spent on lawyers. The Supreme Court has already ruled, unanimously, Alston v NCAA. Lets throw in O’Bannon v NCAA, (SCOTUS refused the NCAA appeal), House v. NCAA, Carter v. NCAA, and Hubbard v. NCAA. The “amateur college sports” ship has sailed. One day the POTUS does something that looks good, then the next day does something really dumb. But hey, steady work for lawyers.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 25, 2025 5:19 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

RIP

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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July 24, 2025 8:51 am

I look at the above prediction as a challenge to the Big “10”. Putting USC ninth in the conference is crazy. You only have to look at the number of close losses last season to know there was a lot of “home cookin’ “ going on with the B1G refs. The playing field was far from level last season and more than once the end result favored the B1G old guard against the newcomers. From the disingenuous “officiating” the ability to say, “look at us,” to the other conferences. “We’re so strong that even the weaker teams beat the mighty… Read more »

Golden Trojan
Major Genius
July 24, 2025 9:14 am
Reply to  RialtoTrojan

The big difference I noticed with the officiating is the Big10 refs tend to keep their flag deep in their pockets as opposed to the Pac12 refs who’s flag was a hot potato. The most egregious call was the “the pile moved so he must have got in” TD for the Gophers. That was on the video review guys, the refs called it for USC. USC had close loses because of Riley. USC is ranked 9th because Riley is still the HC.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 10:10 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

Coming from Indy……where the NCAA HQ is…….the refs in the BIG generally protect the playoff teams…..it’s all about the cash. It’s also a more physical brand of football. Let them play. Which feeds right into running more than passing. It’s not just the weather and coaching which causes midwest teams to run more. Some, not all, midwest refs (who have a somewhat TV image of the west) hate what they think of as the easy beach life style west coast…..not my opinion…..and certainly not reality…….sorry about being the messenger. The image and behavior of Riley on the sidelines vs most… Read more »

Golden Trojan
Major Genius
July 24, 2025 11:01 am
Reply to  illinoisusc

All the more reason to run a physical balanced offense. Makes some sense that tie goes to the better ranked team. Helps your conference brand. If not for Riley, USC still should have beat Michigan, Penn St and definitely Minnesota, Washington and Maryland. The fastest dragster will suck at the 24hrs of Le Mans. Play by the rules of the game.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 11:47 am
Reply to  Golden Trojan

exactly

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 3:38 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

LOL…..your blood boiling? Good……let’s show them in a year or two who’s the boss!
It’s been a long time since we played a team like Ohio State or Georgia and were favored.
Teams come and go…..Illinois has won 5 national football championships…..but nobody thinks of them, as even 2nd tier. It’s time for USC to show it’s not over. We belong on the national stage.
By the way….Iowa (that also has 5 national football championships) plays USC this year at the Colly….. show them.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 6:45 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Well…..sometimes I am stupid……glad I’am entertaining you and me……and I understand your response…..but to some fans most of what USC accomplished is now aging just as much as those Iowa wins. 2003 and 4 are now 22 years ago…..aside from that we’re going all the way back to 78……47 years ago. If it had not been for Pete……and he got not much help from our admin during his time. Just to be reasonable and more accurate……Let’s say USC is 2A and the other 4 including Iowa are 2B…..but USC in the first tier….IMO out here most don’t see it that… Read more »

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 8:22 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

OK……..well at least you and I had a good discussion….we disagree but so what……hopefully we’ll be laughing after mediocre Iowa leaves LA this year. I recall a score of 49 to 24 the last time we played them.😎
Since it’s your site and I’am just a humble midwesterner….the last comment is yours.

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
July 25, 2025 5:10 am
Reply to  illinoisusc

They so easily and soon forget all those Rose Bowl beatings of their top dog at the hands of those soft Southern Californians.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 6:35 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Caleb will have a much better line this year……..I hope he does well…..but the NFL Draft is starting to resemble the NBA draft……draft on possibilities instead of performance. I almost giggle over the dollars being handed out to folks that can’t play. Who is grading these people. It’s all about headlines. I live in Indy with a dude that plays QB for the Colts that was drafted 4th and can’t play. 50% accuracy and gets hurt every time he steps out.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 9:18 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Well……after a lifetime in the Chicago area I do maintain a few connections to folks close to the Bears…..IMO the attitude is that poor Caleb has been mis coached for several years. They brought in Johnson and talent on the O line to help him max what they believe is generational talent. They expect to see a big improvement this year. My own opinion is it may be too late. I hope he shows big improvement this year. I think the QB whisperer Riley nearly ruined him. Yesterday I pledged not to cut Riley’s past screw ups…..so I’ll end it… Read more »

RialtoTrojan
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RialtoTrojan
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July 24, 2025 8:57 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

It occurred to me that Riley, the famous “quarterback whisper” became the “quarterback follower” behind Caleb’s playing style. Riley took a knee and let Caleb run the offense. It showed last season with quarterback decisions. Riley did Caleb a disservice by allowing him too much free rein.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 24, 2025 11:51 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Not to mention the poor OL players who at over 300 pounds in warm weather were sucking air by the 4th quarter. Even the best trained ol player is not prepared to hold blocks for 20 seconds and run sideline to sideline for every play..

Golden Trojan
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July 24, 2025 7:03 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Reports say a torn meniscus. There are two choices for surgery. Cut it out, meniscectomy, quick recovery but osteoarthritis long term. Repair it if possible, long recovery but good long term health for the knee. Good for him they can repair it. Fight On Alijjah, see you next season.

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 23, 2025 9:43 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Yep!…..get ready for next year and the year after. No need to lose a year of development.

Steveg
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Steveg
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July 23, 2025 5:23 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Pete did it with Barkley and it worked out okay, but then Bark had a really good team around him. This team is not quite the same.

Jamaica
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Jamaica
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July 23, 2025 5:23 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I agree with this suggestion. Longstreet is the QB that will lead the class of 2026 for their next 2 or maybe even 3-seasons if he proves to be another Caleb Williams. Riley needs to play both Longstreet & Huard in these first 3/4 games. Longstreet to give him some game experience and Huard as the backup in case Maiava gets hurt.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 24, 2025 11:04 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I am in agreement, but would be delighted to be wrong about Maieva. But I think Longstreet needs to be used extensively this season.

Steveg
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Steveg
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July 23, 2025 8:00 am

If the USC defense is one touchdown per game better this season and the offense is consistent they will have a floor of 10 wins. If the offense is dynamic and improves over last season they will be contenders. Yes, I am wearing my cardinal colored glasses today. I am sure there are those that hate Riley that will disagree, but this is simply based on what they did last season.

PN4SC
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PN4SC
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July 23, 2025 1:28 pm
Reply to  Steveg

There are reasons for skepticism about our team. Specifically QB, where Maiava runs hot and cold, and our starting guards on the O Line. But so many “experts” who believe we are no better than a mid range B1G conference team lead with claims like “Riley’s teams never play defense” or the” Trojans can’t improve until they get the defense figured out”. That kind of analysis tells me that writer has done no research. I only expect 8 wins this year. The schedule is tougher than most people realize. But our defense is going to be good, maybe very good.… Read more »

PN4SC
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PN4SC
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July 23, 2025 3:20 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

It may be manageable, but there is more to the schedule than Oregon and the Irish.I believe Nebraska will take a big leap in Rhule’s 3rd season, like at Baylor and Temple. Illinois and Michigan could be really good, but that is a big unknown.Iowa finally has a QB, and might be good also, but the Hawkeyes have been overrated in the past. It could be you are right, and outside of the two really tough road games, USC will be favored in every other match up. We won’t really know until about the end of September.The 4 game stretch… Read more »

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
July 23, 2025 5:28 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

USC is definitely the outlier in this list with a disproportionately low revenue for its valuation. Higher revenue for MN I get, it’s a pretty good sports crazy state with the Vikings, Twins,Wild and Timberwolves. But Utah and Iowa?!?! Wow. I get the whole dilution of fan spend in So Cal angle, and that so many So Cal residents have historically been transplants from elsewhere, and the international demographic makeup of the population, but still. I’d love to see the historical time series of revenue to valuation for these programs for the last 100 years. That would be an interesting… Read more »

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 23, 2025 6:48 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Ok, i am fighting a migraine today, but where is University of Minnesota on the list pictured above? Am I missing something Allen?

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 23, 2025 1:45 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Ok, thanks. As I said I have been a bit slow on the uptake, today….

Golden Trojan
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July 23, 2025 10:02 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

I took a look at the article because the revenue was so out of line. The average revenue is for the last 3 available years. USC was getting Pac12 money ’22-24, at $36, $33 and $31 million. Starting in ’24-25 school year USC will be getting Big10 money, $70-$100 million a year. So if you add another $50-55 million to USC’s average revenue, that’s $125 million. That is on par with the rest who are already getting SEC and Big10 money. Ohio State’s money is not as much as I would think compared to the others in the top 5.

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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July 22, 2025 9:43 pm

I think SC will end up in the Top 5 in the Big10 and should be no worse than 10-2 or 9-3 this season. Most of the teams picked ahead of us have lost players and will not be as good as they were in 2024.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 23, 2025 6:12 am
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

I hope I am wrong, but I think the QB position will let us down. Also, count on LR’s 4th quarter play calling and time mgmt.to lose us one or two more games.

Steveg
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Steveg
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July 23, 2025 8:02 am
Reply to  ATL D.D.S.

So you believe nothing will change? Jeez, I hope you are wrong doc.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 23, 2025 1:46 pm
Reply to  Steveg

Well i am a doctor (dentist)–always confident, sometimes correct!😁😁

Golden Trojan
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July 23, 2025 2:42 pm
Reply to  ATL D.D.S.

In Healthcare we “practice” our whole careers!

TrojanMPA90
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TrojanMPA90
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July 22, 2025 9:45 pm
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Someone needs to tell Paul Finebaum to get over it and pull the stick out of his a** as far as hating on SC.

I hope SC has a great season so Finebaum has to eat his words.

TrojanRon
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TrojanRon
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July 23, 2025 1:50 am
Reply to  TrojanMPA90

I agree with you on Finebaum. Heather Dinich can eat hers too!

illinoisusc
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illinoisusc
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July 23, 2025 4:41 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Let’s forget the past and worry about the future. Every Trojan fan wants him to improve in 25. Finebaum has to write or say so many things per day to make his living. I pledge to simply discuss the performance we experience this year from now on with no further comment on the past. It’s over for me. The past is the past. Let’s go 12-0!.

volunteerTrojan
Major Genius
July 23, 2025 5:34 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

He’s just doubling down on his previous statements. Nothing new to see here, move along.

But, it’s hard to argue his points. LR is absolutely in a “prove it or lose it” spot now of his own making.

I hope the team and staff rise up and shock the naysayers this year.

Fight On!!!

Steveg
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Steveg
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July 23, 2025 8:04 am

I always wonder what the mouth of the south would say about Riley if USC were in the SEC.

ATL D.D.S.
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ATL D.D.S.
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July 23, 2025 6:15 am
Reply to  Allen Wallace

Finebaum looks funny and he hates any man not wearing AL colors who is more handsome than angry Paul.

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